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May 26, 2006 Fed Move in June Remains Tied to Nature of Incoming Data
May 25, 2006
  • Housing Market Is Cooling Down, No Doubts About It
  • Upward Revision of Q1 GDP Is History, Q2 GDP to Post Below Trend Growth
  • Initial Jobless Claims Show Slight Upward Drift
May 24, 2006
  • New Home Sales - Headline Is Deceptive, Momentum Is Weak
  • Orders of Durable Goods Were Weak As Expected
  • German and Belgian Data Point to Firm Euro-zone Economy in 2006; But Outlook for 2007 Uncertain
  • Canada: Interest Rates Have Peaked, But Manufacturer’s Will Still Suffer
May 23, 2006
  • Real Retail Sales Off To Slow Start in Q2
  • GDP and Inflation - A Consideration of Lags
May 22, 2006
  • Why the Pause Option Is Wiser
  • Hungary: An Emerging Market to Watch
May 19, 2006
  • Rising Mortgage Costs, Rental Vacancy Rate, and Core Consumer Price Index
  • Brazil: Rate Cuts Expected at May 31st Policy Meeting
May 18, 2006
  • Leading Index Continues to Suggest Moderation In Economic Growth
  • Initial Jobless Claims – Message Unchanged
  • Factory Report From Philadelphia Signals Noticeable Deceleration
May 17, 2006 FOMC Faces A Tough Call
May 16, 2006
  • Economic Reports Send Mixed Message
  • Ignore Germany’s ZEW Survey, Wait For Next Week’s Ifo
May 15, 2006
  • Fed Is Finding Confirmation Of Its Forecast
  • Japan: A Third Year Without A Recession?
May 12, 2006
  • Consumer Sentiment Index Plunges in May
  • Trade Gap Improvement Reflects Growth Abroad
May 11, 2006
  • Headline Deceptive, Weak Retail Sales Is the Main Message
  • Jobless Claims - Message Has Not Changed
  • China Avoids “Currency Manipulator” Title - For Now
May 10, 2006
  • Fed Agenda for June Includes a Pause, No Change from Bernanke’s Testimony
  • Bank of England Assumes Rates Will Go Up - But Probably Not Anytime Soon
May 09, 2006
  • The Rate Hike Is Certain, the Rest is Unclear
  • Canada: Housing Starts Decline
May 08, 2006 The Different Trends of Labor Costs
May 05, 2006 Soft Payroll Employment Data Raise Expectations of A Pause in June
May 04, 2006
  • Q1 Productivity Report – Labor Costs Are Not Threatening
  • Jobless Claims Point to Soft Conditions
  • ECB is Vigilant - Rate Hike Coming in June
May 03, 2006 Today’s Reports Have Bullish Tone, Is It Tentative?
May 02, 2006 The Dollar’s Future
May 01, 2006
  • Q2 Consumer Spending - Probability of Soft Growth Is Growing
  • ISM Manufacturing Survey - April 2006
April 28, 2006
  • Q1 Growth Stellar, But Below Potential GDP In Rest of 2006
  • Labor Costs - Not A Troublesome Issue For the FOMC
  • Sweden Flags June Rate Hike
April 27, 2006
  • Bernanke Hints at Near-Term FOMC Pause
  • The Housing Market Environment - Government Stats vs. Company Stats
  • Jobless Claims - Mixed Trend, With Slight Bearish Tone
  • China: Sudden Rate Hike Could Be First of Many Surprises
April 26, 2006
  • The Balance Tips In Favor of the Hawks
  • Japan: The First Rate Hike Will Be A Matter of Timing
April 25, 2006
  • Strong Data From Germany and Belgium
  • China: Economic Policy and the Hu Review
April 24, 2006 The FOMC, Federal Funds Rate, and Unemployment Rate
April 21, 2006 The LEI - The Rodney Dangerfield of Economic Statistics
April 20, 2006
  • Persistent Signal of Moderation From Leading Index
  • Jobless Claims Retrace Most of Last Week’s Gain
  • Brazil: Slow and Steady
April 19, 2006
  • The FOMC Finds Itself in a Tight Spot
  • BoE Minutes Confirm Wait and See Stance
April 18, 2006
  • FOMC Minutes: Fed Most Likely to Stop After May 10th Hike
  • Food and Energy Prices Drive Headline Wholesale Price Index
  • Housing Starts Post Second Consecutive Monthly Decline
April 17, 2006 Looking for Bernanke’s Mark and More in FOMC Minutes
April 14, 2006
  • Pickup in Factory Production Is Noteworthy
  • Chile: More Rate Hikes Ahead
April 13, 2006
  • March Retail Sales - Mixed Performance
  • Jobless Claims Numbers Show Sideways Movement
  • Other Economic Reports Published Today
April 12, 2006
  • Trade Gap Narrows In February, Reversal In March Nearly Certain
  • Mortgage Applications Erase Part of Last Week’s Gains
April 11, 2006
  • The FOMC’s Modus Operandi in 2000/2001
  • Singapore: Steady Monetary Policy Defies Expectations
April 10, 2006
  • Will Rising Commodity Prices Be Passed Through?
  • Latin American Elections: Tight Race in Peru
April 07, 2006 March Employment Numbers Confirm May 10 Hike is Nearly Certain
April 06, 2006
  • Mixed News About U.S. Economy
  • ECB Less Hawkish But Rates Still Headed Upward
  • UK: Rates Still on Hold
April 05, 2006 Now vs. 1994/1995 - Part II
April 04, 2006 Now vs. 1994/1995 - Part I
April 03, 2006
  • ISM Manufacturing Survey - Factory Sector Operation Shifting to Lower Gear
  • Private Sector Construction Spending Gathers Moderate Steam
  • Pending Home Sales Index Points To Decline in Existing Home Sales
March 31, 2006
  • Consumer Spending On Track For Strong Rebound in Q1 and Soft Mark in Q2
  • Consumer Sentiment Index Advances in March
  • Chicago Purchasing Mangers' Index Recovers in March
March 30, 2006
  • Sharp Rebound in Q1 Likely to be Followed by Moderate Growth
  • Claims Maintain Upward Trend
March 29, 2006
  • The Fed's Biggest Downside Worry is Housing, As Well It Should Be
  • Mortgage Borrowers Counterintuitive Preference For ARM Products
  • Brazil: The Long Arm of Corruption
March 28, 2006
  • Fifteen In A Row For FOMC, Market Increases Bet On Sweet Sixteen
  • Consumers - Today Is Better Than Yesterday, But What About Tomorrow?
  • German Ifo and Euro-zone M3 Boost Odds of May ECB Rate Hike
March 27, 2006
  • Why The Fed Might Want To Take A Breather After Tuesday's Hike
  • Japan: Is It Still Okay to be Optimistic?
March 24, 2006
  • Troublesome Correction in Market for New Homes
  • Aircraft and Defense Orders Lift Orders of Durable Goods, But Shipments of Core Items Are Less Impressive
March 23, 2006
  • Existing Home Sales Recover, but Details Suggest Soft Market Conditions
  • Jobless Claims - Message of Sluggish Growth Unchanged
March 22, 2006
  • Mortgage Purchase Applications - Downward Trend Persists
  • Euro-zone Outlook: Watching the Belgians, Waiting for the Germans
  • South Africa: What Would It Take For the Reserve Bank to Change Rates?
March 21, 2006
  • Fact-Checking Bernanke's Yield Curve Comments
  • Lower Prices of Energy and Food Bring Down Wholesale Prices, but Core Prices Are Moving Up
  • UK: Say Goodbye to Rate Cut Expectations
March 20, 2006 Leading Indicators Suggest The Fed Might Want To Be Careful
March 17, 2006
  • Factory Output - Moderation Visible After Katrina-related Recovery
  • Consumer Sentiment Index Held Steady
March 16, 2006
  • Benign Trend of Inflation Raises Expectations of a Pause in May
  • Housing Starts Are Trending Down
  • Jobless Claims Suggest Sluggish Labor Market Conditions
  • Rate Hikes in Norway and Switzerland: More to Come
March 15, 2006
  • Home Builders Survey Signals Noticeable Loss in Sales Momentum
  • Import Prices Excluding Fuels Show A Marked Deceleration
  • Latin American Politics: A Fourth Amigo?
March 14, 2006
  • February Retail Sales - Widespread Weakness
  • Record Current Account Deficit in 2005
March 13, 2006 Household Borrowing Gathered Steam in 2005
March 10, 2006 Employment Report Does Not Change Our Fed Forecast
March 09, 2006
  • Real Estate Makes Significant Contribution to Net Worth of Households
  • Initial Jobless Claims - Reverse Downward Trend
  • Imports of Oil, Cars, and Consumer Goods Lead to Wider Trade Deficit
March 08, 2006
  • Higher Mortgage Rates Bite
  • Bank of Japan to Take First Step in the Journey of One-Thousand Miles
March 07, 2006 Productivity - Minor Revisions to Previous Estimate
March 06, 2006
  • Existing Home Sales Likely to Post Another Decline in February
  • Factory I-S Ratio Held Steady in January
March 03, 2006
  • Consumer Optimism Fades in February
  • Non-Manufacturing ISM Survey Reports an Improvement in the Employment Index
  • Choppy Waters Across the Taiwan Strait
March 02, 2006
  • Be Bullish On China/India Because of Their Supply, Not Demand
  • US: Message From Weekly Labor Market Report Is Unchanged
  • The ECB Sounds a Little More Hawkish
March 01, 2006
  • ISM Manufacturing Survey Shows Moderate Improvement
  • Strength in Q1 Consumer Spending Is A Temporary Event
  • Construction Spending Off to a Slow Start In Q1
February 28, 2006
  • Home Sales Show A Clear Downward Trend
  • Marginal Upward Revision of Q4 GDP
  • Consumer Confidence Dips In February
  • Canada: Just Enough Growth For a Rate Hike
February 27, 2006 Sales of New Homes Cooling Down
February 24, 2006 Aircraft, Defense, and More Account for Sharp Drop In Durable Goods Orders
February 23, 2006 Is There A Meaningful Drop In Initial Claims?
February 22, 2006
  • Higher Energy and Non-energy Prices Lift Overall CPI
  • Data Confirm a March 2 ECB Rate Hike
February 21, 2006
  • 4.75% Federal Funds Rate Nearly Certain on March 28th
  • LEI Recovery In January Is Probably Temporary
February 17, 2006
  • Non-energy Prices Lift Wholesale Prices in January
  • Mexico: Rate Cuts May Not Be the Cure
February 16, 2006
  • WaMu - A Leading Indicator of Initial Jobless Claims?
  • Builders Are Building Homes, Will They Find Buyers?
  • Japan's Q4 GDP Report Should Confirm What the Central Bank has Suggested
February 15, 2006
  • Chairman Bernanke’s Debut - Kasriel’s Critique
  • Factory Production Shows Noticeable Strength in January
  • News From Housing Market Should Raise Concern
February 14, 2006
  • From Where Is Consumer Spending Power Coming?
  • Q1 Consumer Spending Will Reflect an Arithmetic Boost and Spending Spree
  • Retail Inventories Made A Hefty Contribution to Total Inventories in December
February 13, 2006 Payroll Employment in Current Expansion Remains at the Bottom of the Class
February 10, 2006 Relative Strength of U.S. Economy Leads to Wider Trade Deficit in 2005
February 09, 2006 Improvement in Jobless Claims Numbers Is Reversed
February 08, 2006 Japan: Is the BoJ Ready to Raise Rates?
February 07, 2006 The Bell Tolls For Toll Bros.
February 06, 2006
  • It's Different This Time
  • Labor Compensation Is Far Short of Profit Growth
February 03, 2006 January Employment Report - The True Story is in the Details Not the Headlines
February 02, 2006
  • Noteworthy Aspects of Productivity And Compensation
  • Jobless Claims Point To An Improvement, But Employment Numbers Will Have Final Word
  • ECB Leans Toward March Rate Hike
  • Latin American Elections: A Trip Down Memory Lane
February 01, 2006
  • Momentum Slows At The Nation's Factories
  • Construction Outlays in December Point To Upward Revision of Q1 GDP
January 31, 2006
  • FOMC Policy Statement - Greenspan Keeps Option Open For Bernanke
  • Employment Costs Remain Contained
  • Consumer Confidence Index Advances in January
  • Chicago Purchasing Managers' Report Shows Moderation In Activity
January 30, 2006 Arithmetic Will Help Q1 Consumer Spending
January 27, 2006
  • Weak Growth of Economy Strengthens Case of Fed Pausing
  • New Home Sales - Q4 Volume and Price Decline
January 26, 2006
  • Cars and Defense Aircraft Orders Lift Orders of Durables
  • Jobless Claims Data Deliver Mixed Message
January 25, 2006 Housing Market Is Certainly Cooling Down
January 24, 2006 South Africa: A Pause for Thought
January 23, 2006 Germany: The Year of Recovery?
January 20, 2006 Canada: A lot can happen in a day or two
January 19, 2006
  • Housing Starts - Impressive Performance in 2005 Despite Soft Q4
  • Jobless Claims - Message Unclear
January 18, 2006
  • Core CPI Numbers Support Expectations of A Pause After January
  • Sweden: First of a Series of Rate Hikes Coming This Friday
January 17, 2006 Soft Growth of Factory Output Strengthens Case For Pause
January 13, 2006
  • Consumer Spending Should be Noticeably Weak in Q4
  • Energy Prices Once Again Lift Wholesale Price Index
January 12, 2006
  • Aircraft Exports Help To Narrow Trade Gap
  • Jobless Claims - Message distorted by holidays
  • Deceleration In Prices of Imported Goods Is Noteworthy
  • China: Some Thoughts About the Yuan
January 11, 2006 Housing Sector News Remains Bearish
January 10, 2006 Noteworthy Aspects About the Participation Rate (2000-2005)
January 09, 2006 Payroll Employment Remains Soft Even After Four Years of Economic Expansion
January 06, 2006 December Employment Report - Weak Payroll Numbers Strengthen Case For Pause After January FOMC Meeting
January 05, 2006
  • Additional Evidence Confirms Deceleration of Activity in Housing Sector
  • Holiday Distorts Jobless Claims Data
January 04, 2006
  • Latest Data Point To Gradual Loss of Momentum in Housing Market
  • Factory Inventories-Shipment Ratio Holds Steady
January 03, 2006
  • FOMC Minutes: Expectations of Pause After January Strengthens
  • Significant Moderation in Manufacturing Activity during December
December 23, 2005
  • Sales of New Homes Plunge, Gain in Inventories Is Troubling
  • Aircraft Bookings Lift Orders of Durable Goods
  • University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Advances in December
December 22, 2005
  • November Data Confirm Expectations of Weak Consumer Spending in Q4
  • LEI Advances in November, Implications Are Not Clear
  • Jobless Claims Reverse Last Week's Softness
December 21, 2005 Revision Shows Slightly Slower Growth in GDP and Slightly Higher Core Inflation
December 20, 2005
  • November Decline in Wholesales Price Index Should be Reversed In December
  • Undesirable Inventory of Unsold Homes Could Soon Emerge
  • Latin American Elections: Upon Further Review..
December 19, 2005
  • Yield Curve Inversion - Necessary But Not Sufficient Recession Condition
  • Odds Favor Soft Q4 Consumer Spending
December 16, 2005
  • Current Account Deficit Narrows - Temporary Correction
  • If You Thought China’s Economy Was Impressive in 2005...
December 15, 2005
  • Underlying Inflation Not As Benign As Headline
  • Strength in Industrial Production Related to Recovery After Hurricanes
  • Jobless Claims Report - Call for Close Watch
December 14, 2005 Oil Imports Account For Significant Widening of Trade Gap
December 13, 2005
  • FOMC Remains Concerned About Inflation
  • November Retail Sales Confirm Soft Q4 Consumer Spending
December 12, 2005 Households - Another Quarter Older And Deeper In Debt
December 09, 2005
  • From the Flow of Funds Report - Some Noteworthy Aspects
  • Consumer Sentiment Advances in December
December 08, 2005 Appealing To Occam’s Razor to Explain Gold Above $500
December 07, 2005 Measures of Inflation and Neutral Real Federal Funds Rate
December 06, 2005 Productivity and Unit Labor Costs - Revision of Q3 Estimates
December 05, 2005 Yield Curve vs. S&P 500 - Which One Should We Believe?
December 02, 2005 Recovery in Payroll Employment Seals the Case for 4.25% Federal Funds Rate on December 13
December 01, 2005
  • Gold-Price Adjusted, We're Still In A Recession
  • Q4 Consumer Spending - A Flat Performance Is An Optimistic Estimate
  • ISM Manufacturing Survey Suggests Moderation In Pace of Activity
  • ECB Rate Hikes: Ripple Effects Felt To The East
November 30, 2005
  • U.S. Economy Grew Faster in Q3 Than Previously Estimated
  • Regional Factory Survey Shows Moderation
November 29, 2005
  • New Homes - Sales Advance, But Prices Show Moderation
  • Consumer Confidence Rebounds In November, But Remains Below Pre-Katrina Mark
  • Defense and Aircraft Orders Lift Bookings Of Durable Goods In October
November 28, 2005
  • Existing Home Sales - Volume Has Moderated, Prices Continue to Soar
  • Latin American Elections: Has Honduras set the tone for change?
November 23, 2005
  • Jobless Claims Retrace Improvement of Prior Week
  • Consumer Sentiment Recovers In November
November 22, 2005 FOMC Considering Implementing Changes Soon
November 21, 2005 Temporary Rebound In LEI Is Related to Rebuilding After Hurricanes
November 18, 2005
  • An Increase in the October Leading Index -- Case of Special Factors Not A Cyclical Improvement
  • Latin America: Full Political Schedule
November 17, 2005
  • Housing Starts – Plateau Is Here, What is Next?
  • Spike In Factory Activity Is Mostly Recovery After Hurricanes
  • Jobless Claims – More Data Will Be Essential to Declare Improvement in Place
November 16, 2005 Pass Through of High Energy Prices to Core CPI Not Visible As Yet
November 14, 2005 Greenspan - The Guardian of Price Stability?
November 10, 2005
  • Oil Imports Contribute to Wider Trade Gap in September
  • Jobless Claims Remain Stable
  • Imported Petroleum Prices Declined But Non-Petroleum Prices Advanced
November 09, 2005
  • Shares of Corporate Profits And Labor Compensation - A Quick Overview
  • Japan: Numbers Change but the Forecast Remains the Same
November 08, 2005 Labor Compensation Takes A Big Hit
November 07, 2005 Capital Spending And CEO Confidence
November 04, 2005 October Employment Report Strikes A Note of Caution
November 03, 2005
  • Something Beats Nothing, Mr. Greenspan
  • Productivity Regains Strength In Q3
  • Jobless Claims Hold On to Pre-Katrina Trend
  • Non-Manufacturing Sector Gathers Momentum In October
November 02, 2005 More Signs of Weakening Momentum In The Economy - Housing and Cars
November 01, 2005
  • Fed Raises Federal Funds Rate to 4.00% As Expected
  • The ISM Manufacturing Index Shows a Small Moderation
  • Construction Spending Advanced in September
October 31, 2005
  • Consumer Spending - Unfavorable Trajectory for Q4 is Conceivable
  • Chicago Factory Survey Shows Strength
October 28, 2005
  • Q3 Real GDP - Consumption & Government Spending Were the Big Contributors to Growth
  • Employment Cost Index
October 27, 2005
  • New Home Sales Rose during September, Put Declined in Q3
  • Decline in Durable Goods Led By Aircraft
  • Jobless Claims Remain Stable
October 26, 2005
  • Impact of Monetary Policy Tightening Is Visible In Housing Market
  • Australia: Inflation Gaining Speed, But Not Enough To Move the RBA
October 25, 2005
  • Existing Home Sales - Moderation In Volume and Prices
  • Hurricanes, Gap Prices, and Job Outlook Bring Down Consumer Confidence
October 24, 2005 Inflation Targeting - Some Preliminary Thoughts
October 21, 2005 Mixed Signals of Labor Cost Measures
October 20, 2005
  • The Plunge In The Leading Index Is A Partly Exaggerated, But Message Of Slower Economic Momentum Persists
  • Initial Jobless Claims - It is a stable picture, if claims related to Katrina are excluded
October 19, 2005
  • The Fed Remains Persistent On Presenting A Hawkish Stance
  • Housing Starts Rebound In September
  • Japan: The Economy Gains More Believers - So Why Is the Yen Weak?
October 18, 2005
  • Higher Prices for Energy, Food, Cars, Clothes, and Few Others Things Raised the Headline Wholesale Price index in September
  • Brazil: Why not cut 50bps?
October 17, 2005 Core Consumer Price Index – Then And Now
October 14, 2005
  • Overall Inflation Soars, Core Prices Remain Contained
  • Imprints of Hurricanes Visible In Industrial Production Report
  • Significant Deceleration in Retail Sales In Q3
  • Consumer Sentiment Index Posts Another Monthly Decline
October 13, 2005
  • Claims Data Suggest No Significant Turnaround in Labor Market
  • Import Prices Soar In September
  • Imports and Exports Account For a Widening of the Trade Gap
  • Australia: More Evidence Favoring A Neutral Reserve Bank
  • Mexico: Rate Cuts Ahead, But Not Tomorrow
October 12, 2005 Housing Market – October Starts On A Soft Note
October 11, 2005 FOMC Minutes – Inflation Is Primary Concern
October 07, 2005 Employment Relatively Strong, Despite Drag From Hurricanes
October 06, 2005 Jobless Claims Data and Its Importance When Uncertainty Looms Large
October 05, 2005
  • Want To Make Gasoline Scarcer? Pass A New Gas Tax
  • Pace of Activity Slows in Service Sector during September
October 04, 2005
  • Factory Inventories-Shipments Ratio Matches Historic Low
  • Chain Store Sales Were Weak In September
  • Turkey: Finally In Line For The Euro Club
October 03, 2005
  • Strength in Purchasing Managers' Report Needs Additional Confirmation
  • Guynn Indicates That Fed is Close to a Change in Rhetoric
  • Construction Spending Gains Momentum
September 30, 2005
  • Watch Out For the Soft Trend In Consumer Spending
  • Chicago PMI Retraces Most of the August Decline
September 29, 2005
  • Housing Affordability Lowest In Fourteen Years
  • Q2 GDP - Headline Unchanged, Minor Revisions of Components
  • Initial Jobless Claims Decline After Katrina Related Jump
September 28, 2005 Durable Goods Orders Pickup in August, But Q3 Shipments of Capital Goods Are Lackluster
September 27, 2005
  • Supply of Unsold New Homes Should Cause Concern
  • Consumer Confidence Plunges In September
September 26, 2005
  • Existing Home Prices Continue to Soar, Inventory of Unsold Homes Is Creeping Up
  • China: Will A “Softly, Softly” Approach Work With Yuan Reform?
September 23, 2005
  • Will Household Net Worth Take A Hit If Home Prices Decelerate?
  • Canada: Healthy growth ahead
  • Back to Belgium: Are Things About to Look Up in the Euro-zone?
September 22, 2005
  • Leading Index Points To Deceleration In Economic Growth
  • Katrina Leaves A Clear Imprint On Jobless Claims Numbers
September 21, 2005
  • Adjustable Rate Mortgages – No Longer Flavor of the Month
  • It‘s Unanimous: UK's Monetary Policy Committee Doesn't Know Which Way the Economy is Headed
September 20, 2005
  • Inflation Is Major Concern of FOMC
  • Housing Starts Appear to Have Peaked
September 19, 2005
  • Data Point to A Deceleration of Economic Growth In Pre-Katrina Period
  • German Election: The Worst Possible Outcome
September 16, 2005
  • Consumer Sentiment Index Plunges in September
  • Current Account Deficit Narrows in Q2, Reversal Nearly Certain in Q3
September 15, 2005
  • Core CPI Most Likely To Reverse Contained Trend
  • Regional Fed Surveys Report Slower Growth
  • Jobless Claims Reflect Impact of Hurricane Katrina
  • Drop in Retail Inventories Is Mostly Due To Autos
September 14, 2005
  • Deceleration In Consumer Spending Is Underway
  • Autos Lift Factory Production in August
September 13, 2005
  • Energy Prices Lift Wholesale Price Index
  • International Trade - Exports Post Small Gain, Imports Dropped
September 12, 2005 Yellen Probably Voiced Concerns of FOMC
September 09, 2005 Import Prices Excluding Petroleum Show A Moderation
September 08, 2005 Jobless Claims Report Suggests That Labor Market Is Sluggish
September 07, 2005 Upward Revision of Unit Labor Costs Raises Concern
September 06, 2005 Japan: Who Cares About Oil During Election Season?
September 02, 2005 August Employment Data Show Only Moderate Growth
September 01, 2005
  • Factory Sector Growth Slows In August
  • Q3 Consumer Spending to Post Hefty Increase
  • Initial Jobless Claims May be Reversing Downward Trend
  • Construction Spending Kicks off Q3 on a Slow Note
August 31, 2005
  • A Heretic On The FOMC?
  • Regional Factory Survey Shows A Sharp Decline In Pace of Activity
    Affordability Index Declines to Lowest Level In Nearly Fourteen Years
    Small Downward Revision to Real GDP Growth in Q2
August 30, 2005
  • Hurricane Katrina Had No Silver Lining!
  • Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Rebounds In August
  • Inventory/Shipments Ratio Holds Steady in August
August 29, 2005 Housing Market - An Overview of Volume and Price Adjustments
August 26, 2005 Greenspan Spells Out Evolution of Monetary Policy Management at the Fed
Possible Winners and Losers from Japan’s Elections
August 25, 2005 Auto Sales - Will the July Sales Momentum Prevail?
Saudi Arabia: King Abdullah - Off and Running
August 24, 2005 New Home Sales Post A New Record in July, But Median Price Declined
August 23, 2005 Existing Home Sales - Volume Down, But Price Marches On
August 22, 2005 A “Firm Expansion” vs. a “Vulnerable Economy”
August 19, 2005 Gloomy Q2 EU Data Confirmed - Will Q3 Be Any Better?
August 18, 2005 Leading Index Edged Up in July, But Message of Moderate Economic Growth In Near Term Remains in Intact
August 17, 2005 Energy and Motor Vehicle Prices Boost Wholesale Prices In July
August 16, 2005 Energy Prices Drive Overall Consumer Price Index
August 15, 2005 Housing Market News - Home Builders Survey and Fed’s Senior Loan Officer Survey
August 12, 2005 International Trade - Exports Hold Steady, Imports Advance
August 11, 2005 Consumers Bought Only Cars and Gasoline in July
August 10, 2005 Applications for ARM's Decline, But Underlying Problem Has Not Vanished
August 09, 2005 FOMC Most Likely to Stay on Measured Tightening Path
August 08, 2005 FOMC Policy Statement Is the Main Event Tomorrow
August 05, 2005 July Employment Report
August 04, 2005 July Employment Report - A Preview
The Bank of Japan vs. the Ministry of Finance – Place Your Bets
August 03, 2005 Bank of England Likely to Ease Tomorrow - But Don’t Expect Further Cuts
August 02, 2005 Q3 Consumer Spending Likely to Match Year-to-Date Trend
August 01, 2005 ISM Manufacturing Survey - Durability of Rebound Is Unclear
July 29, 2005 What’s Not To Like?
Brazil: Do the ends justify the means?
July 28, 2005 Signs of Distress in the Effervescent Housing Market?
July 27, 2005 New Home Sales - Impressive Gain in Sales, But Builders Are Excessively Optimistic
July 26, 2005 Consumer Confidence Slips In July
July 25, 2005 Sales of Existing Homes Set New Record Again
July 22, 2005 China's Revaluation: Latin America Is Lovin' It
July 22, 2005 China's Revaluation: Latin America Is Lovin' It
July 21, 2005 Leading Index Posts Noticeable Gain in June, Computation of Index Has Changed
China: The Journey of 1,000 Adjustments Begins With the First Revaluation
July 20, 2005 Greenspan Indicates That Measured Tightening Policy Will Continue
UK'S BOE is Increasingly Dovish
July 19, 2005 A Decline In Bond Yields Is Stimulative, All Else The Same?
Australia: Reading the Mind of the Reserve Bank
July 18, 2005 Greenspan's Semi-Annual Testimony - A Preview
July 15, 2005 Autos And Utilities Lift Industrial Production In June
July 14, 2005 Inflation - Encouraging Downward Trend In Place
July 13, 2005 Trade Gap Narrows In May, Reversal Most Likely in June
July 12, 2005 Should U.S. Taxpayers Purchase Unocal?
July 11, 2005 Focus of the Week - Retail Sales, CPI, Factory Production
July 08, 2005 Employment Report Reinforces View That Soft Landing Is Probably Here
July 07, 2005 Auto Retooling Season Will Distort Jobless Claims Numbers
July 06, 2005 Mortgage Applications Recover After Brief Slump
July 05, 2005 Mixed Data Says the UK’s BOE Will Stand Pat This Week
July 05, 2005 Mixed Data Says the UK’s BOE Will Stand Pat This Week
July 01, 2005 ISM Manufacturing Survey - One Month’s Gain Is Inadequate To Make A Convincing Conclusion
June 30, 2005 Fed Raises Funds Rate As Expected
June 29, 2005 Borrowers’ Demand For Adjustable Rate Mortgage Products Waning
June 28, 2005 Is Restrictive Monetary Policy What Ails The Eurozone?
June 27, 2005 What’s Down With Bank Holdings of Mortgage-Backeds?
June 24, 2005 Wilting Manufacturing vs. Vibrant Housing
June 23, 2005 When Gold Really Starts To Glitter
June 22, 2005 Is Japan Now the Land of the Setting Sun?
June 22, 2005 Is Japan now the Land of the Setting Sun?
June 21, 2005 Will the ECB Copy the Riksbank?
June 20, 2005 Pay Attention To Your Leaders!
June 17, 2005 Housing Affordability Is Plunging Even With Relatively Minor Rate Increases
June 16, 2005 Labor Market Continues To Show Less Vigor
June 15, 2005 China: All Good Things Must Come To an End, but When?
June 15, 2005 China: All Good Things Must Come To an End, but When?
June 14, 2005 Weak Retail Sales - Blame It On The Weather Or The Fed?
June 13, 2005 All Currencies Beginning To Sink?
June 10, 2005 Import Prices and the Renminbi - Let Sleeping Dogs Lie?
June 09, 2005 The Yield Curve - Greenspan's Blind Spot?
June 08, 2005 Yield Curve Message - It's Different This Time?
June 07, 2005 Labor Force Participation Rate - Some Noteworthy Details
June 06, 2005 The Politicians Will Whine, But the ECB Is Not About to Ease
June 06, 2005 The Politicians Will Whine, But the ECB Is Not About to Ease
June 03, 2005 Details of Employment Report Suggest Fed Is Likely to Pause After June
June 02, 2005 Upward Revision of Unit Labor Cost Raises Inflation Concern
June 01, 2005 ISM Manufacturing Index - On the Brink of Slipping Below 50.0
May 31, 2005 Consumer Confidence Rebounds in May
May 31, 2005 Have the French Killed the Euro?
May 27, 2005 Consumer Spending Likely To Show Additional Deceleration in Q2
May 26, 2005 The Chinese Renminbi – From Draggin' Anchor to Dragon Anchor?
May 25, 2005 Fed Policy vs. Energy Prices: Good Cop vs. Bad Cop?
May 24, 2005 Housing Frenzy
May 23, 2005 Housing Market - Another Information Tidbit
May 20, 2005 Regional Factory Reports Bode Poorly for May ISM Manufacturing Index
May 19, 2005 Leading Index Continues to Signal Slow Economic Growth
May 18, 2005 Higher Energy and Food Prices Lift Overall CPI, Core CPI Contained
May 17, 2005 Wholesale Prices Advance, Factory Output Unchanged, Housing Starts Surge
May 16, 2005 Regional Factory Survey Points to Marked Weakness
May 13, 2005 Consumer Sentiment Index Drops In May
May 12, 2005 Purchases of Autos and Everything Else Lifted Total Retail Sales
May 11, 2005 Trade Gap Close to Record High In January
May 10, 2005 Another Survey Indicates Slowing of Business Conditions
May 09, 2005 Whom Do You Trust - BLS or ETA?
May 06, 2005 Noteworthy Gains in Employment During April
May 05, 2005 Should The Fed Have Deleted A Different Phrase From Its May 3rd Announcement?
May 04, 2005 Fed Statement - Correction
May 03, 2005 May 3 FOMC Meeting - Inflation Is Major Concern, For Now
May 02, 2005 May 3 FOMC Meeting - Language More Important Than Rate Hike
April 29, 2005 Households Run Record Deficit In Q1
April 28, 2005 Economic Growth Slowed in Q1
April 27, 2005 Durable Goods Orders – Widespread Weakness in March
April 26, 2005 Sales of New Homes Set New Record In March
April 25, 2005 Although Existing Home Sales Advanced in March, But Q1 Tally Shows A Decline
April 22, 2005 Governor Ferguson On the Current Account Deficit
April 21, 2005 Don’t Follow The Leaders At Your Own Risk
April 20, 2005 Core Inflation Advances Further in March
April 19, 2005 Sharp Reduction in Construction of New Homes
April 18, 2005 Inflation Update
April 15, 2005 Autos Hold Back Factory Output in March
April 14, 2005 Not Clear If Current Upward Trend of Initial Jobless Claims is Tentative
April 13, 2005 The More The Fed Becomes Transparent, The More It Remains Opaque
April 12, 2005 The FOMC Minutes Indicate Areas of Contention
April 11, 2005 The Week Ahead
April 08, 2005 Growth in Household Debt Is Concentrated in Mortgage Debt
April 07, 2005 Jobless Claims - Recent Reversal of Underlying Trend Is Troubling
April 06, 2005 Savvy Households Could Face Tight Budget Situations
April 05, 2005 The March U.S. Leading Index Should Post A Decline
April 04, 2005 Pending Sales Index — New Indicator From National Association of Realtors
April 01, 2005 Tepid Growth in Nonfarm Payrolls Raises Expectations of Only Measured Tightening in May
March 31, 2005 Mixed Bag of News in Today's Economic Reports
March 30, 2005 Impressive performance of 2004 May Not Be Repeated In 2005
March 29, 2005 Consumer Confidence Drops In March
March 28, 2005 March Payroll Employment Expected to Exceed Recent Trend
March 24, 2005 February Durable Goods Orders - Aircraft and Computers Were the Main Drivers
March 23, 2005 Consumer Price Index - February 2005
March 22, 2005 FOMC’s Primary Concern - Inflation
March 21, 2005 Will the March 22 FOMC Statement Include Different Language?
March 18, 2005 Sharp Gains in Prices of Imported Consumer Goods - The FOMC Will Take Note of It
March 17, 2005 Leading Index Points to Soft Growth In The Near Term
March 16, 2005 Autos and High-Tech Lift Factory Production
March 15, 2005 Widespread Gains In Retail Sales
March 11, 2005 Trade Gap Close to Record High In January
March 10, 2005 Real Estate Equity of Households Holds Steady in 2004
March 09, 2005 Beige Book Presents A Bullish Economic Picture
March 08, 2005 A Interesting Nugget of Information From the Employment Report
March 07, 2005 Business Sector Spending Looks Promising In Q1
March 04, 2005 Payrolls Post A Noteworthy Increase in February
March 03, 2005 Productivity - Slow Growth in Latter Half of 2004 Remains A Concern
March 02, 2005 A Noticeable Gain in Nonfarm Payrolls Predicted for February
March 01, 2005 Factory Sectors Shifts To Lower Gear
February 28, 2005 Consumer Spending in Q1 off to a Slow Start
February 25, 2005 Q4 GDP Growth Stronger Than Predicted
February 25, 2005 Australia: Interest Rates Heading Up, But By How Much?
February 24, 2005 Strong Start for Capital Spending in Q1
February 23, 2005 Minutes Reveal Inflation Is Primary Concern
February 22, 2005 Consumer Confidence Index Slips In February
February 18, 2005 Wholesale Food and Energy Prices Dropped but Prices of Core Items Rose
February 17, 2005 Leading Index Declines After Temporary Pickup
February 16, 2005 Fed Sees As Strong Or Stronger Economic Growth In 2005
February 15, 2005 Decline In Auto Sales Pulls Down Retail Sales
February 14, 2005 Chairman Greenspan's Testimony of February 16 Takes Center Stage This Week
February 11, 2005 Corporate Profits vs. GDP
February 10, 2005 Jobless Claims - Noteworthy Improvement
February 09, 2005 Factors Influencing Long Term Yields
February 08, 2005 Productivity and Unit Labor Costs
February 07, 2005 Payroll Employment Surpasses Prior Peak
February 04, 2005 Firms Continue to Expand Payrolls, But Pace of Hiring is Lackluster
February 03, 2005 Productivity - Significant Deceleration Underway
February 02, 2005 FOMC Statement-Major Non-Event
February 01, 2005 ISM Manufacturing Survey Presents A Mixed Picture
January 31, 2005 Data Suggest that Housing Market Is Vulnerable
January 31, 2005 Australia: Inflation and the Reserve Bank
January 28, 2005 Economic Growth Shifts to Lower Gear
January 27, 2005 Shipments Of Non-Defense Capital Goods Warrant Watching
January 26, 2005 Current Account Deficit of the U.S. - Do We Need to Fret About It?
January 26, 2005 China: Determining the Yuan's Future
January 25, 2005 Optimistic Assessment of the Present Boosts Consumer Confidence
January 21, 2005 Measures of Inflation - Current Readings
January 20, 2005 Leading Index Continues to Indicate Slow Growth In the Near Term
January 19, 2005 Core CPI Posts Notable Gains in 2004
January 18, 2005 Housing Market Momentum At Risk
January 14, 2005 Sharp Drop In Energy Prices Brings Down Wholesale Price Index
January 13, 2005 Autos Led Surge In Retail Sales During December
January 12, 2005 Led By Oil, Trade Deficit Soars In November
January 10, 2005 Additional Details from the December Employment Report
January 07, 2005 Employment Report Is Neutral, Fed Most Likely to Raise Fed Funds Rate On February 2
January 06, 2005 Weekly Claims Data Remain Soft
January 05, 2005 Non-Manufacturing Activity Improves, Concerns About Inflation Have Emerged
January 04, 2005 FOMC Concerned About Inflation, Most Likely To Raise the Federal Funds Rate At February Meeting
January 03, 2005 Laffer's Laugher
December 23, 2004 Shipments of Non-Defense Capital Goods Indicate Slowing of Capital Expenditures
December 22, 2004 Q3 Real GDP Growth – Marginal Upward Revision
December 21, 2004 U.S. Economy - 2004 In Pictures
December 20, 2004 Leading Index Continues To Signal Moderation In Economic Activity
December 17, 2004 Consumer Prices – A Moderate Increase in November
December 16, 2004 Greenspan Allegedly Declines Top Treasury Post; FOMC Is Flexible, No Fixed Target In Mind
December 15, 2004 Housing Market Index - No Change in Momentum
December 14, 2004 FOMC Raises Federal Funds Rate, Statement Includes Only Minor Modifications
December 13, 2004 Despite Tepid November Retail Sales, Upward Revision of October Retail Sales Lifts Q4 Average
December 10, 2004 Wholesale Prices Maintain Upward Trend
December 09, 2004 Weekly Labor Market Report Contains Worrisome Signals
December 08, 2004 Consumer Spending Spree – Winding Down?
December 07, 2004 Household Saving And Their Houses
December 06, 2004 More On Dollar's Downfall
December 03, 2004 Tepid Advance In Payroll Employment
December 02, 2004 Jobless Claims -- No Noteworthy Change
December 02, 2004 New Figures Rewrite South Africa's Outlook
December 01, 2004 Partial Recovery of Manufacturing ISM Index In November
November 30, 2004 Marginal Upward Revision of Third Quarter GDP
November 30, 2004 Euro Rising, Growth Stalling - What's the ECB To Do?
November 29, 2004 Employment Situation - A Preview
November 24, 2004 Shipments of Durable Goods Rebound In October, But Orders Were Weak
November 23, 2004 Sales of Existing Homes - Nearly Steady In October
November 22, 2004 Factory Sector - Take Note of Decelerating Trend
November 22, 2004 Whatever China Does, the Euro is Headed Toward $1.35
November 19, 2004 Greenspan's Comments Rattle the Already Weak Dollar
November 19, 2004 Is Asia Catching A Case of American Flu?
November 18, 2004 U.S. Leading Index Records Fifth Consecutive Monthly Decline
November 17, 2004 Bullish Economic Data Raise the Probability of A December Hike
November 16, 2004 The Persistent Gain in Core Wholesale Prices Should Be Worrisome For the Fed
November 15, 2004 Banks Continue to Report Easing of Credit Standards
November 12, 2004 December 14 Federal Funds Rate Hike Is Related to Nature of Upcoming Data
November 12, 2004 Euro-Zone Outlook: Slowing Economy, Rising Currency
November 10, 2004 Fed Keeps Options Open
November 09, 2004 Fed Is Certain To Raise The Federal Funds Rate, Marginal Changes To Policy Statement Likely
November 08, 2004 Mixed Data Leaning Toward A Slowing Economy
November 08, 2004 Dollar Down - China Out?
November 05, 2004 Stronger-Than-Expected Gains In October Payroll Employment
November 04, 2004 Marked Deceleration In Productivity
November 03, 2004 Republican Victory Implies New Incentives To Save
November 02, 2004 Poor Non-Auto Retail Sales In October
November 01, 2004 Purchasing Managers' Index Signals Shift to Slower Economic Growth
October 29, 2004 Economy Grew Close to Trend Rate In Q3
October 28, 2004 China's Surprise Monetary Policy Action - “Marriage of Convenience” Enters Rocky Phase
October 27, 2004 Decline in Mortgage Rates Lifts Sales of New Homes
October 26, 2004 Consumer Confidence Measures Decline For Third Straight Month
October 25, 2004 Existing Home Sales Rebound In September
October 22, 2004 Two Fed Officials Hint At A Policy Pause
October 21, 2004 U.S. Leading Index Posts Fourth Consecutive Monthly Decline
October 20, 2004 The Dollar - 1980s vs. Now
October 20, 2004 Watch Those Belgians
October 19, 2004 Greenspan Remains Largely Upbeat About Household Leverage
October 18, 2004 Housing Market Index Rebounds in October
October 18, 2004 Talking Turkey
October 15, 2004 Surge In Auto Purchases Lifts Retails Sales In September
October 14, 2004 Oil Imports Raise Trade Deficit In August
October 13, 2004 Let The Facts Speak For Themselves, Mr. Kudlow
October 12, 2004 October Non-Auto Retail Sales Start the Quarter On A Optimistic Note
October 08, 2004 Despite Soft Employment Numbers In September, FOMC Will Raise Funds Rate In November
October 08, 2004 South Africa: With Oil at $50 per Barrel, Interest Rates are Headed...South?
October 07, 2004 Additional Information Needed to Detect Underlying Trend of Jobless Claims
October 06, 2004 Has America Achieved Economic Paradise on Earth?
October 05, 2004 Non-Manufacturing Sector is Also On Deceleration Path
October 05, 2004 Australia: Federal Elections – A Confidence Game
October 04, 2004 Factory Inventory-Shipment Ratio Held Steady in August
October 01, 2004 Factory Sector Losing Momentum
September 30, 2004 July-August Consumer Spending Data Suggest Stronger Economy in Q3
September 29, 2004 Second Quarter GDP - The Third Time Is The Charm
September 28, 2004 Consumer Confidence Stumbles Again
September 28, 2004 Japan: The Tankan Report Tokyo Needs to See on October 1
September 27, 2004 Sales of New Homes Rebound, But Underlying Trend Is Soft
September 24, 2004 Existing Home Sales Drop In August
September 23, 2004 Leading Index Portends Deceleration in Economic Growth
September 22, 2004 Monetary Policy In The Holiday Season Since 1980
September 21, 2004 Fed Policy - Rate Hike Was No Surprise, Intermeeting Outlook is Unchanged
September 20, 2004 FOMC Nearly Certain To Raise Federal Funds Rate, Hints About the Future Are More Important
September 20, 2004 Germany: Regional Elections – Should We Worry?
September 17, 2004 Real Estate Profits Dominate Gains in Household Net Worth
September 16, 2004 Consumer Price Index - August 2004
September 15, 2004 Manufacturing Output -- Clearly In Expansion Phase
September 14, 2004 What's Next For Auto Incentives? Will GM Pay You To Take A Car?
September 13, 2004 Participation Rate vs. Baby Boomers
September 10, 2004 Wholesale Prices of Gasoline, Autos, and Food Decline in August
September 09, 2004 Jobless Claims – No New Information
September 08, 2004 Greenspan Hints That the FOMC Is Likely to Pause
September 07, 2004 Recent Economic Developments Following Greenspan's Testimony on July 20
September 03, 2004 Labor Daze – The August 2004 Employment Situation
September 02, 2004 Jobless Claims Have Essentially Stalled
September 01, 2004 Factory Sector Is Cooling Down
August 31, 2004 Consumer Confidence Declines in August
August 30, 2004 Pickup In Consumer Spending Likely In Q3
August 27, 2004 U.S. Economic Growth in Q2 Revised Down
August 26, 2004 Tracking Jobless Claims Data
August 25, 2004 The Simmer In Home Sales Is Fading
August 24, 2004 Existing Home Sales Decline in July
August 23, 2004 How Long Will Foreign Central Banks Keep Financing Our Treasury Deficit?
August 20, 2004 High Oil Prices = A Tax?
August 19, 2004 The U.S. Leading Index Declines for the Second Straight Month
August 18, 2004 High Oil Prices – Here To Stay?
August 17, 2004 No Change In September 21 Prediction
August 16, 2004 Does the New York Survey Suggest Imminent Slowing of Factory Sector Activity?
August 13, 2004 Decline in Food Prices Trims the Wholesale Price Index in July
August 12, 2004 Auto Purchases Lift Retail Sales In July
August 11, 2004 July Retail Sales Preview
August 10, 2004 FOMC Maintains Measured Tightening Posture, Sees Little Reason to Agitate Markets
August 09, 2004 August 10 FOMC Meeting - What To Look For
August 06, 2004 Fed Will Act On August 10, September Rate Hike Uncertain
August 05, 2004 Preview of July Employment Data
August 04, 2004 Service Sector Recovers from June Deceleration
August 03, 2004 Drop in Auto Sales Drives the Decline in June Consumer Spending
August 02, 2004 Factory Momentum Remains At Impressive Levels
July 30, 2004 Economic Growth Slowed In Q2
July 28, 2004 Orders of Durable Goods Recover In June
July 27, 2004 July Consumer Confidence Index - Highest Since June 2002
July 26, 2004 Existing Home Sales Post New Record In June
July 23, 2004 Housing Market May Become A Laggard
July 22, 2004 The Drop in June Leading Index May be Transitory
July 21, 2004 Underlying Details of Core Inflation
July 20, 2004 Greenspan’s Report to Congress - Rosy Economic Outlook
July 19, 2004 Greenspan’s Testimony - Revision of Outlook for 2004 and Forecast For 2005
July 16, 2004 Energy Prices Lift June CPI
July 15, 2004 Lower Food and Energy Prices Bring Down Headline PPI
July 14, 2004 June Retail Sales - Q2 Closes on a Soft Note
July 13, 2004 Notable Narrowing of Trade Deficit In May
July 12, 2004 Factory Production Is Likely to Show A Decline in June
July 09, 2004 Inflation - Near Term Market Mover
July 08, 2004 Jobless Claims Numbers - Incorrect Message For A Short Period
July 07, 2004 Mortgage Activity Rebounds After A Lull In June
July 06, 2004 June Non-Manufacturing ISM Report – Employment Index Posts New Record
July 02, 2004 Soft June Employment Data Will Keep FOMC On Measured Tightening Pace
July 01, 2004 Moderation of Pace In Factory Activity
June 30, 2004 FOMC Plays Down Inflation Issue
June 29, 2004 Consumer Confidence Surges In June
June 28, 2004 Consumer Spending Shifting To Lower Gear
June 25, 2004 Existing Home Sales Post New Record In May
June 24, 2004 Durable Goods Orders Show Widespread Softness
June 23, 2004 Home Purchases - Highlight of This Week's Economic Data Releases
June 22, 2004 Malpass And Friedman Are Both Off The Mark
June 21, 2004 Commercial Banks Make A Record Bet On Mortgages
June 18, 2004 Q1 Current Account Deficit Sets A New Record
June 17, 2004 Labor Market Momentum Remains In Place
June 16, 2004 Factory Output Close to Previous Peak
June 15, 2004 Consumer Price Index – May 2004
June 14, 2004 Don’t Bet On Too Many More 1.2% Monthly Retail Sales Increases
June 10, 2004 Do We Need the English System for Monetary Policy As Well?
June 09, 2004 Japanese Economic Recovery Could Be Catalyst For Run On The Dollar
June 08, 2004 One Of These Things Is Not Like The Other
June 07, 2004 Is There a Painless Cure For Drug Addiction?
June 04, 2004 Fed Has Green Light to Tighten Monetary Policy
June 03, 2004 Price and Employment Indexes Post Noteworthy Gains in Non-Manufacturing ISM Survey
June 02, 2004 Zimbabwe’s Money Supply - Enquiring Minds Want To Know
June 01, 2004 Factories Keep Up Strong Act
May 28, 2004 Chicago’s Factories Are Firing All Cylinders
May 27, 2004 Growth of Corporate Profits Slowed In Q1
May 26, 2004 Bad Combo for New Housing - Demand Down and Supply Up
May 25, 2004 Existing Home Sales Close To Record High In April
May 24, 2004 Factory Sector’s Situation Implies Bottlenecks Cannot Be Ruled Out
May 21, 2004 Governor Bernanke Pins Down Neutral Federal Funds Rate
May 20, 2004 Trend Suggests Improving Conditions in Labor Market
May 19, 2004 Alan Greenspan’s Re-nomination: Pride Goeth Before A Fall?
May 18, 2004 Fast Forward Four Quarters - “BOJ Seeking Stronger Yen”?
May 17, 2004 Regional Factory Sector Shows Widespread Strength
May 14, 2004 Troublesome Gains in April CPI
May 13, 2004 Wholesale Prices Post Significant Gains in April
May 12, 2004 Trade Gap Posts New Record In March
May 11, 2004 Fed Tightening Seldom Derails Equity Markets Immediately
May 10, 2004 Is the Tightening Cycle Likely to Be Different From 1994?
May 07, 2004 Robust Growth In Payrolls Strengthens Case For Tightening
May 06, 2004 Declining Jobless Claims Raise Expectations of Solid Gains In Payrolls
May 05, 2004 Non-Manufacturing ISM Index Posts A New Record
May 04, 2004 Fed Declares It’s Ready To Tap Monetary Policy Brakes
May 03, 2004 Factory Sector Stays Steady in April
April 30, 2004 Keep Partying Like It’s 1999?
April 29, 2004 Q1 Real GDP Growth Is Strong, But Decelerating Trends Should Be Noted
April 28, 2004 The Labor Market Holds the Key to Near Term Monetary Policy
April 27, 2004 Consumer Confidence and Existing Home Sales Advance
April 26, 2004 Sales of New Homes Set A New Record in March
April 23, 2004 Widespread Strength in Durable Goods Bookings
April 22, 2004 Wholesale Prices Post Significant Gains In March
April 21, 2004 FOMC Needs More Evidence on Employment Before It Acts
April 20, 2004 Greenspan’s Testimony - Highlight of the Week
April 19, 2004 Leading Index Points To Strong Growth
April 16, 2004 A Rebound In Construction of New Homes
April 15, 2004 Regional Factory Reports Bring Upbeat News
April 14, 2004 March CPI Data Strengthen Expectations of A Tighter Monetary Policy
April 13, 2004 Surge In Retail Sales and Revisions Support Strong GDP growth in Q1
April 12, 2004 Retail Sales and Factory Production Will Dominate This Week’s Data Releases
April 08, 2004 Further Confirmation of Improvement in Labor Market
April 07, 2004 Import Prices Continue to Advance
April 06, 2004 M2 Money Supply Resumes Growth Despite Continued Money-Fund Decline
April 05, 2004 Price Pressures Seen In ISM Non-Manufacturing Survey Also
April 02, 2004 Strong Payroll Employment In March Raises Probability of Tighter of Monetary Policy
April 01, 2004 Inflation Indicators Are Sending Warning Signals
March 31, 2004 Factory Activity Growing At A Slower Pace in March
March 30, 2004 Consumer Confidence Index Nearly Unchanged In March
March 29, 2004 An Overview of Recent Employment Numbers
March 26, 2004 Q1 Consumer Spending Likely to Match the Q4 Reading
March 25, 2004 Final Estimate of Q4 GDP Unchanged, Declining Unit Labor Costs Lift Corporate Profits
March 24, 2004 Durable Goods Orders Rebound in February
March 23, 2004 Watch Out For Correction In Productivity Growth
March 22, 2004 Factory Employment Growth - Is It Around the Corner?
March 18, 2004 Producer Price Index - January 2004
March 17, 2004 February CPI Report Appears Benign But Seeds of Inflation May Be Sown
March 16, 2004 FOMC A Bit More Circumspect About the Economy?
March 15, 2004 Widespread Growth in Factory Output During February
March 12, 2004 Current Account Deficit as a Percentage of GDP Declined in Q4
March 11, 2004 February Retail Sales - Marginal Improvement In Q1 Consumer Spending vs. Q4 Is Likely
March 10, 2004 Exports Decline Despite Weak Dollar
March 09, 2004 The Inflation Story Is Dormant For Now
March 08, 2004 Slowing Income Growth Is Likely to Moderate Consumer Spending
March 05, 2004 February Employment Report - Disappointing Performance Raises Questions
March 04, 2004 Jobless Claims Are Declining But Payrolls Remain Soft
March 03, 2004 Non-Manufacturing Activity Slows In February
March 02, 2004 Employment in the Current Cycle - A Historical Perspective
March 01, 2004 Factory Activity Decelerated In February
February 27, 2004 Q4 Headline GDP Virtually Unchanged But Details Are Noteworthy
February 26, 2004 Clarification On Greenspan’s February 25 Budget Testimony
February 25, 2004 Mr. Greenspan’s “Paper Trail”
February 24, 2004 Soft Labor Market Translates into Declining Consumer Confidence
February 23, 2004 Greenspan - Financial Status of Households is Good
February 20, 2004 Slowest Real M2 Growth Since Late 1994
February 19, 2004 Encouraging Signal from Leading Index
February 18, 2004 Starts of New Homes Winds Down, Partly Due to Bad Weather
February 17, 2004 Activity at Utilities Lifts Overall Industrial Production
February 13, 2004 Weak Dollar - Higher Import Prices Follow
February 12, 2004 January Retail Sales - Soft Performance, Raises Concern
February 11, 2004 If Foreign Central Banks Were To Sell Treasuries, Fed Would Probably Buy Them
February 10, 2004 Crude Oil Prices Staying High - Don't Blame OPEC, Blame The Fed
February 09, 2004 Banks Are Willing To Lend and Businesses Are Taking Them Up On It
February 06, 2004 More Robust Growth In Employment Is Necessary Before FOMC Acts
February 05, 2004 Productivity Growth Slows In Q4
February 03, 2004 Two Faces of the Labor Market
February 02, 2004 Has Greenspan Mellowed With Age?
January 30, 2004 Economy Grew In the Final Three Months of 2003, But the Pace Slowed
January 29, 2004 Employment Costs Are Contained, For Now
January 28, 2004 FOMC Leaves Fed Funds Rate Unchanged and Replaces the Phrase “Considerable Period”
January 27, 2004 Consumer Confidence Index Surges Ahead In January
January 26, 2004 2004 - 2003 Existing Home Sales - Best Performance on Record
January 23, 2004 Profit Situation Supports Expectations of Growth in Capital Expenditures
January 22, 2004 The News from the Labor Market Remains Upbeat
January 21, 2004 Employment Should Pickup To Absorb Construction of New Homes
January 20, 2004 Housing Market Cooling Off?
January 16, 2004 The Factory Sector Is Turning Around, But Only At A Slow Pace
January 15, 2004 Consumer Prices Remain Subdued In December
January 14, 2004 Wholesale Prices Posted Noteworthy Gains in 2003
January 13, 2004 Chairman Greenspan Implies Adjustment of Current Account Imbalance Could Be Less Disruptive Than Widely Expected
January 12, 2004 Key Economic Reports Due This Week
January 09, 2004 Decline In Unemployment Rate is Misleading, Labor Market Conditions Remain Soft
January 08, 2004 Jobless Claims - 4-Week Moving Average Lowest In Three Years
January 07, 2004 Strong Dollar Target – Not Likely to be Attained in the Near-Term
January 06, 2004 Factory Inventories Continue to Decline
January 05, 2004 Bernanke’s Comments Reinforce Expectations of Steady Policy In First-Half of 2004
January 02, 2004 ISM Manufacturing Survey Data Usher In the New Year with a Bang
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